October 29, 2020



Election 2020: When you think about the U.S. presidential election, you might think about the long lines that early voting has already drawn in. You might think about people going door to door with flyers, and you might think that activism is led by young people. However, when it comes to heading to the polls, young voters are less likely to make the effort to go stand in line, because they don’t believe their individual vote is enough to make a difference. 

However, there are signs that younger voters in the United States are more engaged. How could that affect the election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden?

Before we go ahead with our article, let us take a look at the latest POTUS 2020 Betting Odds, courtesy of online action brand JAZZSports.ag.

Political Futures*

2020 US Presidential Election 

Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential RaceOdds
Republican Candidate (Donald J. Trump)+175
Democratic Candidate (Joseph R. Biden)-200
Independent Candidates (any other winner)+5000
Odds to Win the Popular VoteOdds
Republicans Win Popular Vote+750
Democrats Win Popular Vote-1350
Control of House of Representatives – 2020 ElectionOdds

*Odds are subject to change. 

Young voters could make the difference in 2020

College Republicans and College Democrats have both started to get out the votes on campus. 

As you might expect, the College Republicans are going door-to-door despite the possible spread of COVID-19, working to get out the vote. Many College Democrat groups are setting up phone banks and creating an app to help volunteers connect with people who need a ride to get to a polling station on Election Day.

The data company Catalist has found that, in the 14 states that are identified as “battleground” states, early voting between the ages of 18 and 29 has increased. A “battleground” state means that the state does not heavily lean Republican or Democratic in terms of voting outcomes. In Minnesota, which Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate, won by approximately 44,000 votes in 2016, there has been a 7 percent increase in early voting among young voters in 2020 as opposed to four years ago. In Florida, the proportion of youth voters in early voting is about twice what it was in 2016.

This could mean that more young voters will head to the polls – or that the young voters who will vote are just heading in early. There are other signs that young voters have more enthusiasm. CNN ran a recent poll that found that 51 percent of registered voters between the ages of 18 and 34 are very or extremely enthusiastic to vote in the 2020 election. That same poll in 2016 found that 30 percent of voters in that age group had that level of enthusiasm. We’ll see how that plays out in the election.

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